This baseline analysis examines the projected need for teachers in California based on student enrollment projections, expected rates of new teachers and teacher retirements. However, it does not take into account recent policy changes such as the budget's call for reductions in class size or the proposed changes to teacher credentialing requirements. These changes will impact the need for teachers in California. The analysis shows regional teacher shortages, which are expected to persist despite the new policies.

California is at a critical juncture in education, needing up to 190,000 new teachers by 1991 and replacing 75% of the teaching force. Recommendations to improve teaching quality are proposed in this paper, focusing on changes in certification, professional training, and career structure. The state has the opportunity to ensure quality education for the 77 million students who will be taught by these new teachers.