Infographic

Unpacking California’s Chronic Absence Crisis Through 2023–24

Seven Key Facts
Cover
Authors
Hedy N. Chang
Attendance Works
Belen Chavez
Policy Analysis for California Education, Stanford University
Heather J. Hough
Policy Analysis for California Education, Stanford University
Published

Summary

Students are considered chronically absent when they miss 10 percent or more of school for any reason. Left unaddressed, chronic absence can translate into students having difficulty learning to read by Grade 3, reaching grade-level standards in middle school, and graduating from high school.1 Absenteeism soared in California and nationally in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic, and addressing this extraordinary increase is crucial to helping students catch up academically.2 Using data available from the California Department of Education (CDE) and building on a prior analysis, we examine trends in chronic absence through school year 2023–24.3 Although rates of chronic absence have continued to decrease since their peak in 2021–22, they remain alarmingly high. Ensuring equitable opportunities to learn will require ongoing attention and action,4 including taking into account these seven key facts.

1

Rates of chronic absence in 2023–24, while down from the prior year, remain well above prepandemic levels

Chronic absence rates increased from 12 percent in 2018–19 to a high of 30 percent (1,799,735) in 2021–22 (Figure 1). In 2022–23, there was a decrease of 5 percentage points to a chronic absence rate of 25 percent (1,486,302 students), with a further decrease in 2023–24 to 20 percent (1,216,528 students). Although this continuous decrease is a hopeful sign, rates are still much higher than they were prior to the pandemic. This indicates the need for continued and intentional investment in reengaging students and families and helping them overcome barriers to getting to school.

Figure 1. Statewide Rates in Chronic Absence from 2017–18 to 2023–24

Figure 1

Note. The COVID-19 pandemic resulted in statewide physical school closures in February/March 2020, followed by the widespread implementation of distance learning during the 2020–21 academic year. The CDE has determined that absenteeism data are not valid and reliable for the 2019–20 academic year; therefore, the CDE has not processed these data, and they are unavailable for public release.

2

The percentage of schools with high (20–29 percent of students) and extreme (30 percent or more of students) levels of chronic absence more than tripled during the pandemic

When at least 20 percent or more of students in a school are chronically absent, the educational experience of all students, not just chronically absent students, is affected. The constant churn of students in classrooms negatively affects both teaching and learning.5

The data show that the percentage of schools with high (20–29 percent) and extreme (30 percent or more) levels of chronic absence rose from 21 percent in 2018–19 to 75 percent in 2021–22, with a modest decrease to 68 percent in 2022–23 and a further decrease to 52 percent in 2023–24 (Figure 2). While this continued decrease is promising, the percentage of schools with high and extreme levels of chronic absence remains nearly two and a half times higher than before the pandemic.

Figure 2. Percentage of Schools with Extreme and High Levels of Chronic Absence from 2017–18 to 2023–24

Figure 2

Note. Student attendance was not accurately captured either in 2019–20 due to the onset of the pandemic in March 2020 or in 2020–21 due to distance learning; Figure 2 depicts data from in-person school attendance during the years before and after the onset of the pandemic. Extreme chronic absence is defined as 30 percent or more of students, and high chronic absence is defined as 20–29.9 percent of students.

3

Schools serving more socioeconomically disadvantaged (SED) students experience greater levels of chronic absenteeism

As the proportion of SED students6 in a school increases, so do the rates of chronic absence (Figure 3). In 2023–24, only 2 percent of the most affluent schools (those serving 0–24 percent SED students) had high or extreme levels of chronic absence, compared to 72 percent of the schools in which 75 percent or more of students are SED. It is encouraging that these numbers are decreasing for all schools from the rates in 2022–23, but high-poverty schools remain severely affected.

SED students faced heightened challenges during the pandemic, and as a result, these students fell farther behind academically than their non-SED peers.7 The reasons for these students’ absences is complex, and therefore, school and district actions to improve school attendance for students in this group must be multifaceted and include services that meet their basic needs, make school feel safe and welcoming, and ensure engaging and rigorous learning opportunities.8 Equally critical are partnerships with community organizations and public agencies for addressing barriers and challenges to school attendance that may fall beyond the capacity of educators alone to meet.

Figure 3. Schools with High and Extreme Chronic Absence Levels by Proportion of Socioeconomically Disadvantaged Students and Year

Figure 3

Note. Extreme chronic absence is defined as 30 percent or more of students, and high chronic absence is defined as 20–29.9 percent of students. Here we show prepandemic data (2018–19) and the 2 most recent years of data to observe both the dramatic increase in high and extreme chronic absence after the pandemic and the improvement during the past 2 years.

4

Since the onset of the pandemic, the number of elementary schools experiencing high and extreme levels of chronic absence has increased dramatically

Between 2018–19 and 2022–23, many more elementary, middle, and high schools experienced high to extreme chronic absence, but all grade levels reduced absenteeism significantly between 2022–23 and 2023–24 (Figure 4). There is still a large number of elementary schools with high and extreme chronic absence (2,708 in 2023–24). Other schools, primarily alternative education schools, did not see as much change because they already struggled with extreme chronic absence even before the pandemic. The large number of elementary schools with high and extreme levels of chronic absence is concerning given the potential long-term and costly consequences if young students fall behind academically and do not develop a habit of regular attendance early in their school careers.

Figure 4. Schools with High and Extreme Chronic Absence Levels in California by School Type and Year

Figure 4

Note. Extreme chronic absence is defined as 30 percent or more of students, and high chronic absence is defined as 20–29.9 percent of students. Here we show prepandemic data (2018–19) and the 2 most recent years of data to observe both the dramatic increase in high and extreme chronic absence after the pandemic and the improvement during the past 2 years.

5

Chronic absence is highest in kindergarten and in high school

Prior to the pandemic, kindergarten chronic absence was 16 percent, just slightly lower than the chronic absence rate for high school. Kindergarten chronic absence increased to 40 percent in 2021–22, then dropped to 36 percent in 2022–23, and has further reduced to 26 percent in 2023–24 (Figure 5). Kindergarten attendance is critical because it establishes patterns that persist into the future.9 High school attendance is also vitally important because regular attendance is important for learning and graduation10 as well as a key workforce-readiness skill. Chronic absence rates for students in Grades 9–12 are nearly as high as in kindergarten (at 24 percent, up from 16 percent in 2018–19).

Figure 5. Chronic Absence by Grade and Year

Figure 5

Note. Kindergarten attendance data includes transitional kindergarten (TK) program data.

6

Chronic absence is especially high among particular student populations, although all have experienced modest decreases in the last year

Figure 6 illustrates differences among student groups prior to the pandemic and during recovery in their rates of chronic absence. The blue bar represents the increase in rates from 2018–19 to 2021–22, and the yellow arrow shows the decline between then and 2023–24, with a tick mark for progress in 2022–23. Despite improvements, students who are involved in the foster care system, are experiencing homelessness, and/or have been identified as having a disability continue to have extraordinarily high levels of absenteeism, along with Native American, Black, and Pacific Islander students.

For these populations, chronic absence both reflects and exacerbates inequities. These high rates can reflect challenges facing students and families in the community (e.g., lack of access to health care, unreliable transportation, housing and food insecurity, etc.) and within the school (e.g., bullying, unwelcoming school climate, biased disciplinary or attendance practices, or lack of a meaningful and culturally relevant curriculum). Such difficulties can affect students’ ability to learn as well as cause them to fall farther behind because they miss invaluable instruction.

In addition to looking at who is most affected by chronic absence, it is also important to examine which racial/ethnic groups make up the largest number of chronically absent students. In California, Hispanic/Latino students are disproportionately represented among chronically absent students compared to other student populations; this group made up 65 percent of the chronically absent students in 2022–23 and 2023–24 (or 966,459 and 788,733 students, respectively) and 56 percent of the student population overall. The next largest numbers of chronically absent students were White students (241,143 in 2022–23 and 191,007 in 2023–24) and Black students (110,537 in 2022–23 and 96,091 in 2023–24).

Figure 6. Chronic Absence Rates by Student Group and Year

Figure 6
7

While chronic absence is a major challenge across the state, bright spots can be found in every type of locale in California

In every type of locale, the majority of schools has high and extreme levels of chronic absence, but there is a small percentage of schools with much better attendance (Figure 7). These data show that all types of communities can and should care about reducing rates of chronic absence. Fortunately, data can be used to identify potential bright spots that can yield important insights about what works given local conditions.

Figure 7. School-Level Chronic Absence by Locale Type, 2023–24

Figure 7

Note. Extreme chronic absence is defined as 30 percent or more of students; high chronic absence as 20–29.9 percent; significant chronic absence as 10–19.9 percent; modest chronic absence as 5–9.9 percent; and low chronic absence as 0–4.9 percent. Locale data were obtained from the National Center for Education Statistics (NCES).

Conclusion

The alarmingly high levels of chronic absence occurring nationwide require sustained attention and action. Although the California numbers are challenging, absenteeism can be addressed when districts, with state support, help schools take a comprehensive, data-informed approach to attendance that is grounded in an understanding of local assets and difficulties faced by students and families. This analysis of data through the 2023–24 school year offers hopeful signs that attendance levels in California are moving in the right direction,11 but even greater efforts are needed in the schools and communities most affected by COVID-19 and education inequities.

Suggested citation
Chang, H. N., Chavez, B., & Hough, H. J.. (2025, January). Unpacking California’s chronic absence crisis through 2023–24: Seven key facts [Infographic]. Policy Analysis for California Education. https://edpolicyinca.org/publications/unpacking-californias-chronic-absence-crisis-through-2023-24